Earth

El Niño Snow Forecast 2026–27: Will It Snow Where You Live?

October 11, 2026 · 53K views · 0:57

Using snowfall records from past strong El Niño winters, this Short checks how six US cities fared. The pattern is that El Niño moves snow around rather than erasing it: northern cities tend to get less while the South and East Coast can get hit. It stresses that this is history, not a forecast for the coming winter.

The numbers

  • The analysis covers nine strong El Niño winters since 1950 across six cities.
  • Seattle saw no snow at all in five of its eight recorded strong El Niño winters.
  • Boston came in below average in all nine of those winters.
  • Denver beat its average in six of its eight recorded winters.
  • Washington, D.C. ranged from 0.1 inches (1997–98) to a record 56.1 inches (2009–10).

Sources cited in the video: NOAA Regional Climate Centers (ACIS) · NOAA Climate Prediction Center · NOAA climate.gov · NASA Blue Marble

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